What Can We Expect Next After U.S. Bombed Iran?
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On June 22, the U.S. conducted its first major direct attack on Iranian soil, toppling nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.
President Trump called the operation a “spectacular military success,” but analysts caution that while surface infrastructure shows heavy damage, it’s too early to confirm the extent of underground impacts. Observers note that Fordow’s deeply buried setup might have partially evaded destruction .
IAEA and Damage Uncertainty
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed hits on all three sites but said more assessment is needed. While satellite imagery reveals collapsed tunnels and craters, radiation readings remain stable, offering no evidence of leaks so far.
Predicting Iran’s Response
Rather than launching all-out war, experts expect measured retaliation from Tehran, focusing on missile strikes, cyber operations, and proxy warfare. Options include targeting U.S. military bases, disrupting shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, and leveraging allies like the Houthis. CNN commentator Admiral Stavridis emphasized Iran likely seeks limited strikes to maintain credibility without sparking broader war.
Strategic Gamble or Diplomatic Reset?
Officials from the U.S. and Israel insist these strikes are aimed at halting Iran’s nuclear momentum, not at toppling its regime. Vice President Vance framed it as a “reset” designed to stall development and open doors for future diplomacy . Still, analysts like Richard Haass caution that this could lead to a longer strategic contest over decades.
Regional Jitters and International Pressure
The strikes shifted regional dynamics. The UK and European allies—already convening emergency talks—warn of escalation as Iran considers closing the Strait of Hormuz and halting nuclear negotiations . Russia described the operation as opening a “Pandora’s box” , while the UN Security Council was warned of the risk of “unthinkable levels” of conflict unless diplomacy resumes.
What Happens Now?
- Battle Damage Assessments – U.S. officials are analyzing signals and surveillance to determine the true impact underground.
- Iranian Response – Expect restrained missile or cyber responses, not an all-out assault. Their tactic: respond enough to avoid seeming weak.
- Diplomatic Moves – European-led talks are paused, but urgent pressure is building for a diplomatic track. Iran’s strategic decision to block Hormuz could be a tipping point.
- Global Markets on Edge – Oil prices are sensitive to supply risks in the Strait; investors are watching closely.
You might also want to read: Satellite Photos Show U.S. Bomb Strikes on Iran’s Nuclear Site
